Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 11.628552 13.274179 15.075404 17.194249 19.619937 22.311884 25.528391
2026-02-01 9.176536 11.281687 13.764842 16.913710 20.806482 25.469206 31.490702
2026-02-08 7.717439 9.998565 12.835579 16.630427 21.585913 27.854511 36.414400
2026-02-15 6.670434 9.022246 12.077262 16.347591 22.182203 29.904236 40.949310
2026-02-22 6.204318 8.714909 12.103260 17.026734 24.027914 33.671833 48.044854
2026-03-01 5.696389 8.275253 11.876376 17.293414 25.276821 36.675041 54.302156
2026-03-08 5.176732 7.753335 11.464288 17.225154 25.996308 38.935497 59.633401
2026-03-15 4.716281 7.265315 11.042848 17.080382 26.554223 40.960371 64.740039
2026-03-22 4.494849 7.111855 11.096798 17.645003 28.220030 44.773310 72.930810
2026-03-29 4.275852 6.937587 11.095438 18.108752 29.746546 48.468869 81.234950
2026-04-05 4.112992 6.835069 11.191903 18.726576 31.558111 52.748701 90.859823
2026-04-12 3.761464 6.390429 10.693745 18.309467 31.594031 54.071444 95.532629
2026-04-19 3.461179 6.010881 10.278777 18.007493 31.816010 55.753239 101.039483
2026-04-26 3.193271 5.664290 9.890591 17.715824 32.024348 57.417174 106.651002
2026-05-03 2.952121 5.343837 9.519885 17.418635 32.186572 58.992875 112.210882
2026-05-10 2.734865 5.048020 9.167924 17.122036 32.315866 60.502294 117.753364
2026-05-17 2.682895 5.050587 9.353152 17.834246 34.390565 65.790322 131.065312
2026-05-24 2.574152 4.937287 9.314215 18.113921 35.651080 69.617989 141.809889
2026-05-31 2.428524 4.741610 9.104363 18.042334 36.210200 72.113221 150.053630
2026-06-07 2.284986 4.538707 8.864757 17.890508 36.590897 74.273364 157.775721
2026-06-14 2.238192 4.523923 8.990230 18.482649 38.535833 79.753270 173.021816
2026-06-21 2.181476 4.484369 9.062542 18.969021 40.295659 84.983486 188.187458
2026-06-28 2.144027 4.481291 9.207480 19.617006 42.448086 91.208051 206.110606